Water AlliesTier 2
at Dragon nest ga store champ
decks
2
(7.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-5-1
overall winrate
45.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
58.1%
avg ELO +3.6 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1266
· median 1266
· range 1223–1308
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1209
Q1 1304
Q3 1419
1730
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 14.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.4% | -4.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.8% | -6.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.1% | +22.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 67.4% | +27.8 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
